24.12.13

BALANCE OF PAYMENT BOP




            It is a statistical statement which systematically summarises the economic transactions of a country with rest of the world for a given time period.
Balance of trade and Balance of payments:
            The balance of trade includes only those transactions arising out of export and import of visible items (goods).  However it does not include the transaction of invisible item such as shipping, insurance and banking, payment of interest, dividends or expenditure by tourists.  Balance of payment takes into account the exchange of both visible and invisible items between the countries.  Hence Bop records all the economic transactions of a nation with the rest of the world.  Bop represents a clear picture of countries external balance.

Components of Balance of payments:
            All the transactions that fall under Balance of payments are recorded in standard double – entry book keeping system.  According to this entry system for a credit entry there should be equivalent debit entry.  As international transactions are recorded in double – entry book keeping, the balance payments must always balance (ie) total amount of debits must equal to the total amount of credits.  Sometimes, balancing items like omissions and errors are added to balance the items.
            The Balance of payment usually consists of following transactions which are grouped under credit and debit entries.
A  Current Account
A  Capital Account
A  Unilateral payments account
A  Official Reserves Assets account
A  Current account:  This account includes all transactions that arises out of use of national income.  It consists of two major items, namely, a. Exports and Imports,
b. Invisible exports and imports.
            Merchandise Exports (ie) sale of goods abroad are credit entries because al transactions under this heading generates income on the other hand, merchandise exports ie purchase of goods from abroad are debit entries because all the entries that comes under this heading gives rise to foreign money claims on the home country.
            Merchandise imports and exports form the most important international transaction of the most of the countries.
            Similarly, sale of services are credit entries and invisible imports are debit entries.
A  Capital Account:  The capital account consists of short term and long torm capital transactions.  Capital outflow represents debit whereas capital inflow represents credit (for example) If an American firm invests 100 million dollars in India, this transaction will be represented as debit in balance of payment and a credit in the Balance of payment of India.
A  Unilateral Transfers Account:  Unilateral transfers is another term for gifts and includes private remittances, government grants, reparations (sent back to one’s country) and disaster relief.
            Unilateral payments received from abroad are credits and those made abroad are debits and they are part of current account.
A  Official reserve Account:  This account represents the official holdings by the government and agencies.  Of all these accounts current account represent the transfer of goods, services, income and gifts between the home country and foreign countries.  When there a surplus (ie) inflows are more than outflows, the current account is said to be positive and when there is a deficit (ie) inflows are less than out flows, the current account is said to be negative.
A current account surplus means exports are more and imports are less.  This means the nation earns more on foreign exchange and reduced liabilities in its dealing with other countries.  A deficit, on the other hand means that the country must pay other nations in other words the imports are more and exports are less.  This increases the liabilities of the home countries in its dealing with foreign nations.  It is, therefore, said that the current account balance represents the bottom line on a nation’s income statement.  If it is positive, the nation is spending less than its total income and accumulating assets.  If it is negative, domestic expenditure within the country is more which exceeds income.  This results in the increase of borrowings from the rest of the world.
A  Balance of payments Disequilibrium:  The balance of payments in said to be in equilibrium when there in no surplus or deficit in the balance of payment of a country.  The most common factors which causes balance of payments disequilibrium are discussed below.
A  Development disequilibrium:  This equilibrium is caused due to the various developmental activities taken by the nation.  Large scale developmental expenditure usually increases purchasing power, aggregate demand and prices, resulting in large imports and less exports causing disequilibrium in balance of payment.
A  Cyclical disequilibrium:  Cyclical fluctuations of general business activity is also a prominent reason for balance of payment disequilibrium.  A country enjoying a boom in IT for example will experience more rapid growth which increases its imports than exports.  This causes disequilibrium in BOP.
A  Secular Disequilibrium:  In a developed country for example, the disposable income is generally very high and hence more demand.  At the same time the production cost is also very high due to higher wages.  These two factors high demand for goods and high production cost when coupled together will encourage the developed country to look for goods that are cheap outside their country.  This increases the imports than the exports.
A  Political Factors: Factors like war or changes in world trade routes causes disequilibrium in BOP.
A  Sociological Factors:  Certain social factors also influence balance of payments.  For instance change in the tastes, preference and fashions, may affect import and export and thereby affect the balance of payments.
A  Correction of Disequilibrium:  A country may not be bothered about a surplus in the balance of payments, but every country strives to remove or at least reduce a balance of payment deficit.
            There are a number of measure available for correcting the balance of payments disequilibrium.  They fall in to two categories
A  Automatic Correction
A  Deliberate measure
A  Automatic Correction: Under this, the BOP disequilibrium will be automatically corrected. (for example) assume that there is a deficit in the balance of payments.  When there is a deficit, export are less and import of goods are more.  This increase the liabilities of the home country in its dealing with foreign nations.  This causes fall of domestic currency in the international market due to increase of exchange rate.  This makes the export of goods cheaper.  As time passes, due to the reduction in the price of export goods, its demand in the international market tend to rise.  This pulls up the BOP from a deficit country. The automatic adjustment of BOP can happen by adjustment in the following variables-price, interest, income and capital flows.
A  Price adjustment:  Under the gold standard, gold outflows takes place from a deficit country to a surplus country.  As a result of this movement of gold, the supply of money in the deficit country becomes less and supply of money in surplus country becomes more.  This will result in rise in the prices in the surplus country which will encourage imports and discourage exports and fall in prices in the deficit country which will encourage exports and discourage imports leading to the restoration of BOP equilibrium in due course.
A  Interest rate adjustment:  The contraction or expansion of money supply resulting from the BOP deficit or surplus leads to rise or fall in interest rates Due to the outflow of gold from the deficit country to the surplus country, the supply of money becomes less in the deficit country.  As a result, interest rates goes up in the deficit country.  This will encourage investors in the deficit country where the interest rate has risen to withdraw their funds from abroad and invest in the home country.  Moreover, because of fall in rate of interest in the foreign country caused due to BOP surplus, foreigners will be encouraged to send money to deficit country where the interest rates has risen.  These changes will also contribute to the restoration of BOP equilibrium.
A  Capital Flows:  changes in the interest rates as a result of BOP disequilibrium will encourage capital flows from the surplus nation to the deficit nation helping in the restoration of BOP equilibrium.
A  Deliberate Measures:  However because of the various problems associated with the policy of automatic correction, deliberate measures are employed today.  Deliberate measures are classified as
A  Monetary Measures
A  Trade Measure
A  Miscellaneous

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