Project
management is two-fold: Financial and Administrative. It is therefore
imperative to understand these two aspects.
An
ideal project is one which is carefully selected and prepared, thoroughly
appraised/ analyzed, closely supervised and systematically evaluated. Project
management deals with proper identification, formulation and appraisal. These
three aspects from the basic foundation for the success of projects.
PHASES
OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT:
An
entrepreneur has to consider carefully various factors from the start to the
finish in converting profitable opportunities into realities. The process of
project management may be divided into six broad phases – identification,
formulation, appraisal, selection, implementation and management of
projects.
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PHASES OF A PROJECT
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S.no.
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PHASE
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REQUIREMENTS
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1
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Identification
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Selection of a project
after a careful scanning of the environment of investment opportunity and its
likely return
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2
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Formulation
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Translation of the idea
into a concrete project with scrutiny of its important preliminary aspects.
Preparation of feasibility reports.
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3
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Appraisal
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Searching scrutiny,
analysis and evaluation of market technical, financial and economic variables.
Assessing the profitability, return investment and break even points.
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4
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Selection
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Rational choice of a
project in the light of objectives and inherent constraints.
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5
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Implementation
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Expeditious completion
within the allocated resources
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6
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Management
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Judicious operation of a
project / enterprise with objectives like maximisation of net present value,
maximisation of return and increase and increase in the rate of return of low
risk.
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PROJECT
IDENTIFICATION
Introduction:
Project identification is
the first step of a new venture. Project identification is concerned with
collection, compilation and analysis of economic data for the eventual purpose
of locating possible opportunities for investment and with the development of
such opportunities. Opportunities according to Drucker are of three kinds:
additive, complementary and breakthrough.
Additive opportunities are
those opportunities which enable the decision – maker to better utilize the
existing resources without in any involving a change in the character of
business. These opportunities involve minimum disturbance to the existing state
of affairs and hence the least risk. Complementary opportunities involve the
introduction of new ideas and as such do lead to a certain amount of change in
the existing structure. Breakthrough opportunities on the other hand involve
opportunities involve fundamental changes in both the structure and character
of business. The element of risk is greater in the case of complementary
opportunities and is greatest in the case of breakthrough opportunities.
CRITERIA FOR
SELECTING A PARTICULAR PROJECT:
1.
Investment
size: the investment size should be at least Rs.3 to 5 crore.
2.
Location; A
new entrepreneur should locate his project to the extent possible in and around
the state headquarters.
3.
Technology: The
first project should be for a product which requires high technology,
necessitating foreign technical collaboration. It is better to go in for
product with a proven technology that is indigenously available.
4.
Equipment: The
entrepreneur should select the best equipment as per advice of experienced
technical consultants. He should not compromise on the quality of the
equipment.
5.
Marketing: it
is not advisable to get into a project particularly the first, which would mean
survival amidst cut – throat competition involving direct selling to the
ultimate consumer. One should to in for products with a limited number say 10
to 20 of industrial customers.
One
major aspect while choosing a project idea should be a ascertain the extent of
the marketability of the product proposed to be manufactured, its general use,
industries which use it, its end – use and its buyers. You should therefore
study the demand and supply of the product over the last few years to estimate
its future demand based on the past trend. While doing so, the anticipated
changes in fashions, technology and levels of income of the people. If the
product proposed to be manufactured has a market throughout the country the
study should take into account the demand and supply of the product for the
whole country.
PROJECT
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
A project feasibility analysis
includes market analysis, technical analysis, financial analysis and social
profitability analysis.
The
starting point of a project analysis is the establishment of objectives to be
attained. The next stage is the pre – selection stage – the advisability of
having an in depth study. The analysis stage consists mainly of three factors –
market, technical and financial analysis. A market analysis is a method of
screening project ideas as well as means of evaluating a project’s feasibility
in terms of the market. A market analysis should cover the following areas:
1. A
brief market description including the market are, methods of transportation,
existing rates of transport, channels of distribution and general trade
practices.
2. An
analysis of past and present demand, determination of quantity value of
consumption and identification of the major consumers of the product.
3. An
analysis of past and present supply, broken down as source (whether imported or
domestic) as well as information to assist in determining the competitive
position of the product such as selling process quality and marketing practices
of competitors.
The technical analysis of a project
feasibility study establishes whether project is technically feasible or not,
and whether if offers basis for the estimation of costs. Moreover it provides
an opportunity for a consideration of the effect of various technical
alternatives on employment, ecology, infrastructure demands, capital services,
support of other industries, balance of payments and other factors. A technical
analysis should review the techniques or processes to be applied and should
incorporate.
1. A
description of the product including specification relating to its physical,
mechanical and chemical properties, as well as the uses of the product.
2. A
description of the selected manufacturing process, showing detailed flow charts
and presenting alternative processes which may have been considered and the
justification for the adoption of the selected process.
3. A
determination of the plant size and production schedule which includes the
expected volume for a given time period on the basis of start up and technical
factors.
4. Selection
of machinery and equipment including specifications, equipment to be purchased
and its origin, quotations from suppliers, delivery dates, terms of payment and
a comparative analysis of alternatives in terms of cost reliability performance
and spare parts availability.
5. An
identification of plant’s location and as assessment of its desirability in
terms of its distance from raw material sources and markets. For a new project
this part may include a comparative study of different sites, indicating the
advantages and disadvantages of each.
6. A
design of the plant layout and an estimate of the cost of the erection of the
proposed buildings and land improvements.
7. A
study of the availability of raw materials and utilizes including a description
of physical and chemical properties, quantities needed, current and prospective
costs, terms of payment, location of sources of supply and continuity of
supply.
8. An
estimate of labour requirements, including a detailed break – down of direct
and indirect labour requirements and the supervision required for the
manufacture of the product.
9. A
determination of the type and quantity of waste to be disposed of together with a description of the waste disposal
method, its costs and the necessary clearance from proper authorities.
10. An estimate of the production cost of the
product.
In the financial analysis of this feasibility
study, the emphasis is on the preparation of financial statements, so that the
project may be evaluated in terms of the different measures of commercial
profitability followed by the magnitude
of financing which requires the assembly of the market and also
technical cost estimated in various proforma statements. If it is necessary to
have more information on which to base an investment decision a sensitivity
analysis or possibly a risk analysis may be conducted. This financial analysis
should include:
1. For
projects that involve new companies, statements of total project cost, for
initial capital requirements and cash flows relative to the project schedule.
For all projects financial projections for future time periods including income
statements, cash flows and balance sheets.
2. For
all projects supporting schedules for financial projection, stating the
assumption made as to the collection period of sales, inventory levels, payment
period of purchases and expenses and the element of production cost, selling,
administrative and financial expenses.
3. For
all projects a financial analysis showing returns on investments returns on
equity , break even volume and price analysis.
4. For
all projects, if necessary a sensitivity analysis to identify which have a
substantial impact on profitability or possibly a risk analysis.
For the small entrepreneur, the studies
conducted during the analysis stage of the project provide the material for an
assessment. If positive results are obtained, the entrepreneur in seeking
finance, will want to prepare an investment proposal. The planners or
government officials, however having obtained positive conclusions from the
economic feasibility study will want to evaluate the element of social
profitability.
The purpose of the investment or loan
application is to convince a lender ( financial institution) that the project
is a desirable investment; that it not only possesses the potential for profit
but that the proposed management team has the capability to achieve the
potential. The investment proposal normally contains:
1. General
information on the product, company history, the nature of the industry and the
reputation and qualifications of the existing or proposed management.
2. A
description of the project, which usually consists of extracts from economic
feasibility selected manufacturing methods ( with detailed indication of the
cost of equipment and operational expenses) and a financial statement.
3. Miscellaneous
information such as the steps taken for the implementation of the project and
the qualifications of the technical partners envisaged or selected.
PROJECT FORMULATION
Project formulation is
defined as taking a first a look carefully and critically at a project idea by
an entrepreneur to build up an all round beneficial to project after carefully
weighing its various components. It is formulated by the entrepreneur with the
assistance of specialists or consultants. The aim of project formulation is to
achieve the project objectives with the minimum expenditure and adequate resources. In other words it is
to derive maximum benefits from minimum expenses in a short span of time.
Sequential stages of project
formulation:
The process of project
development has been categorized into seven distinct and sequential stages.
They are:
1.
Feasibility
analysis: This is the very first stage in project
formulation. At this stage the project idea is examined from the point of view
of whether to go in for a detailed investment proposal or not. As project for a
detailed investment proposal or not. As project idea is examined in the context
of internal and external constraints three alternatives could be considered.
First the project idea seems to be feasible, second the project idea is not a
feasible one and third, unable to arrive at a conclusion for want of adequate
data. If it is feasible we proceed to the second step if not feasible we
abandon the idea and if sufficient data are not available, we make more efforts
to collect the required data and design
development.
2.
Techno
– economic analysis: In this step estimation of project
demand potential and choice of optimal technology is made.
3.
Project
Design and Network analysis: This important step defines
individual activities which constitute the project and their inter –
relationship with each other. The sequence of events of the project is
presented. A detailed work plan of the project is prepared with time allocation
for each activity and presented in a network drawing. Project design is the
heart of the project entity. This paves the way for detailed identification and
qualification of the project inputs, an essential step in the development of
the financial and cost – benefit profile of the project.
4.
Input
analysis: The step process the input requirements
during the construction of the project and also during the operation of the
project. In the earlier step a project was divided into several activities. Now
it is better to see the inputs required for each activity and sum it up to get
the total input requirements on qualitative
and quantitative terms. Inputs include materials, human resources.
5.
Financial
analysis: This stage mainly involves estimating the
project costs, estimating its operating costs and fund requirements. Financial
analysis also help in comparing various project proposals on a common scale,
thereby aiding the decision maker. Some of the analytical tools used in
financial analysis are discounted cash flow, cost – volume – profit
relationship and ratio analysis.
6.
Social
cost benefit analysis: When we talk of cost benefit analysis
we not only take in to account the apparent direct costs and direct benefits of
the project but also the costs which all entities connected with the project
have to bear and the benefits which will be enjoyed by all such entities.
7.
Pre
– investment analysis: The project proposal gets a formal and
final shape at this stage. All the results obtained in the above steps are
consolidated and various conclusions arrived at to present a clear picture. At
his stage, the project is presented in such a way that the project – sponsoring
body, the project – implementing body and the external consulting agencies are
able to decide whether to accept the proposal or not.